Prediction: Arthur Gea vs Botic Van De Zandschulp
Team pages: Arthur Gea · Botic Van De Zandschulp
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Gea
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Gea
6-4 (W-L)
Botic Van De Zandschulp
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Gea 1627 · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1582
| Arthur Gea | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Gea (rating 1627 vs 1582).
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 55.9% break avg.
- Note: Arthur Gea makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Gea | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.1-1 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.2-12.7 | 14.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 51% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -15.5
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Gea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Michael Zheng US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 26-23 | W |
| 04/09 | Zachary Svajda US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-14 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 23-19 | W |
| 28/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Clement Chidekh US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Sumit Nagal US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Michael Zheng ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jan Choinski US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Gea vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?
Our model gives 52% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.