Tennis · US Open Women · 07/09, 17:00
Prediction: Iva Jovic vs Coco Gauff
Team pages: Iva Jovic · Coco Gauff
Prediction summary
Winner
Iva Jovic
Coco Gauff
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Iva Jovic
8-2 (W-L)
Coco Gauff
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Iva Jovic
0–1
Coco Gauff
(1 last)
- 11 May1-2 14-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iva Jovic 1551 · Coco Gauff 1634
| Iva Jovic | Coco Gauff | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coco Gauff (rating 1551 vs 1634).
- Head-to-head: Iva Jovic 0–1 Coco Gauff (1).
- Note: Coco Gauff makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Iva Jovic | Coco Gauff | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.5 | 12.3-7.9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 56% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 53% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 47% · 1.90
H2H · Iva Jovic 0 – 1 Coco Gauff (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Iva Jovic 0–1 Coco Gauff
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 WTA Rome | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iva Jovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 04/09 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Magdalena Frech US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Magda Linette WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Ekaterina Alexandrova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Coco Gauff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Cristina Bucsa US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Paula Badosa US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Zeynep Sonmez US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Ann Li WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iva Jovic vs Coco Gauff?
Our model gives 66% to Coco Gauff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.