Prediction: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx
Team pages: Francisco Cerundolo · Alexander Blockx
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Cerundolo
Alexander Blockx
Estimated games
27.3Bet365 line 37.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Cerundolo
3-7 (W-L)
Alexander Blockx
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francisco Cerundolo
0–1
Alexander Blockx
(1 last)
- 28 Apr0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Cerundolo 1513 · Alexander Blockx 1556
| Francisco Cerundolo | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Blockx (rating 1513 vs 1556).
- Alexander Blockx dominates on serve: 10.2 aces and 40.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Francisco Cerundolo 0–1 Alexander Blockx (1).
- Note: Francisco Cerundolo makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Alexander Blockx makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Francisco Cerundolo | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.6 | 1.9-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.8-16.2 | 16.5-13.8 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 10.2 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 78% |
| Break % | 32.2% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.3 · Bet365 line 37.5 · -10.2
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Francisco Cerundolo 0 – 1 Alexander Blockx (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francisco Cerundolo 0–1 Alexander Blockx
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/26 ATP Madrid | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
| 03/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 01/09 | Filip Misolic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Alexander Blockx
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Marco Trungelliti US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 24/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx?
Our model gives 61% to Alexander Blockx, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.