Tennis · M15 Bologna · 06/09, 10:00

Prediction: Gabriele Bosio vs Manuel Mazza

Team pages: Gabriele Bosio · Manuel Mazza

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Gabriele Bosio Manuel Mazza
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Bosio 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLWWLL
Manuel Mazza 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabriele Bosio 1532 · Manuel Mazza 1541
Gabriele BosioManuel Mazza
Our model49%51%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Gabriele BosioManuel Mazza
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 80% (5) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.3-1
Games (G-P)11.7-12.111.9-11.2
Aces1.61.8
Double faults31.8
1st serve %61.2%66%
Break %50.5%37.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabriele Bosio

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Lorenzo Berto
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W
04/09 Blu Baker
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
03/09 Matteo Sabbatini
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
01/09 Filippo Mazzola
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
19/08 Denis Constantin Spiridon
M25 Lesa
1-2 13-16 L
13/08 Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 8-13 L
11/08 Francesco Ferrari
M15 Targu Jiu
2-1 14-12 W
04/08 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
28/07 Radu David Turcanu
M25 Pitesti
0-2 10-13 L
24/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M15 Segrate
0-2 3-12 L

Manuel Mazza

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Gabriele Crivellaro
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
04/09 Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
03/09 Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-1 15-9 W
01/09 Giacomo Crisostomo
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
22/08 Daniele Rapagnetta
M25 Lesa
0-2 9-13 L
18/08 Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Lesa
2-1 15-13 W
27/07 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/07 Niels Visker
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
28/06 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
16/06 Marcello Serafini
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 14-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabriele Bosio vs Manuel Mazza?

Our model gives 61% to Manuel Mazza, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.