Tennis · M15 Bologna · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriele Maria Noce vs Alessandro Battiston
Team pages: Gabriele Maria Noce · Alessandro Battiston
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Maria Noce
Alessandro Battiston
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Maria Noce
5-5 (W-L)
Alessandro Battiston
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Maria Noce 1516 · Alessandro Battiston 1427
| Gabriele Maria Noce | Alessandro Battiston | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Maria Noce (rating 1516 vs 1427).
- Gabriele Maria Noce is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Gabriele Maria Noce makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Gabriele Maria Noce | Alessandro Battiston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.4-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.5 | 7.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Maria Noce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Mirko Lagasio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | David Wallechner M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Jozwicki M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Nicola Rispoli M25 Fano |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Alessandro Battiston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Mak Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Niklas Guttau M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Gabriele Maria Piano M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Lucio Ratti M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Marko Retelj M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Andrea Zanini M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-8 | L |
| 30/04 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Maria Noce vs Alessandro Battiston?
Our model gives 66% to Gabriele Maria Noce, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.