Tennis · M15 Bologna · 04/09, 14:30

Prediction: Gabriele Bosio vs Blu Baker

Team pages: Gabriele Bosio · Blu Baker

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Gabriele Bosio Blu Baker
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Bosio 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWLLLWW
Blu Baker 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabriele Bosio 1499 · Blu Baker 1577
Gabriele BosioBlu Baker
Our model39%61%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blu Baker (rating 1499 vs 1577).
  • Blu Baker is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Gabriele BosioBlu Baker
Win %50%80%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 100% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.7-0.8
Games (G-P)11.4-11.112.7-8.4
Aces1.30.4
Double faults3.12.5
1st serve %62.7%70.2%
Break %50.9%53.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabriele Bosio

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Matteo Sabbatini
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
01/09 Filippo Mazzola
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
19/08 Denis Constantin Spiridon
M25 Lesa
1-2 13-16 L
13/08 Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 8-13 L
11/08 Francesco Ferrari
M15 Targu Jiu
2-1 14-12 W
04/08 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
28/07 Radu David Turcanu
M25 Pitesti
0-2 10-13 L
24/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M15 Segrate
0-2 3-12 L
23/07 Luca Parenti
M15 Segrate
2-0 12-6 W
21/07 William Mirarchi
M15 Segrate
2-1 16-12 W

Blu Baker

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Manuel Plunger
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
01/09 Samuele Seghetti
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W
27/08 Henry Bernet
M25 Lausanne
0-2 5-12 L
25/08 Leonardo Taddia
M25 Lausanne
2-0 13-10 W
22/08 Andrea De Marchi
M25 Lesa
1-2 10-9 L
19/08 Luca Parenti
M25 Lesa
2-1 16-12 W
24/05 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 14-9 W
23/05 Reece Falck
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/05 Aaron Eliscu
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
21/05 Kaj Quirijns
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabriele Bosio vs Blu Baker?

Our model gives 56% to Blu Baker, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.