Tennis · M15 Bologna · 05/09, 10:00
Prediction: Manuel Mazza vs Gabriele Crivellaro
Team pages: Manuel Mazza · Gabriele Crivellaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Manuel Mazza
Gabriele Crivellaro
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Manuel Mazza
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriele Crivellaro
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manuel Mazza 1513 · Gabriele Crivellaro 1551
| Manuel Mazza | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Manuel Mazza | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12 | 11.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manuel Mazza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Niels Visker Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Marcello Serafini M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 08/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Nik Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Radovan Michalik M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Justin Schlageter M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manuel Mazza vs Gabriele Crivellaro?
Our model gives 56% to Manuel Mazza, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.