Tennis · M15 Bologna · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Jacopo Bilardo vs Manuel Mazza
Team pages: Jacopo Bilardo · Manuel Mazza
Prediction summary
Winner
Jacopo Bilardo
Manuel Mazza
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jacopo Bilardo
5-5 (W-L)
Manuel Mazza
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jacopo Bilardo 1461 · Manuel Mazza 1480
| Jacopo Bilardo | Manuel Mazza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jacopo Bilardo makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Jacopo Bilardo | Manuel Mazza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13.3 | 11.2-12.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 64% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jacopo Bilardo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Enrico Baldisserri M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Arad |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Arad |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Fermin Tenti M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M15 Targu Jiu |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
Manuel Mazza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Niels Visker Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Marcello Serafini M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 08/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jacopo Bilardo vs Manuel Mazza?
Our model gives 65% to Manuel Mazza, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.