Tennis · M15 Bologna · 03/09, 13:00
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Marcello Serafini
Team pages: Gabriele Crivellaro · Marcello Serafini
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Marcello Serafini
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
5-5 (W-L)
Marcello Serafini
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gabriele Crivellaro
0–1
Marcello Serafini
(1 last)
- 06 Aug0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1521 · Marcello Serafini 1577
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Marcello Serafini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcello Serafini (rating 1521 vs 1577).
- Head-to-head: Gabriele Crivellaro 0–1 Marcello Serafini (1).
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Marcello Serafini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.3 | 13.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Gabriele Crivellaro 0 – 1 Marcello Serafini (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gabriele Crivellaro 0–1 Marcello Serafini
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/26 M25 Fano | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Nik Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Radovan Michalik M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Justin Schlageter M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Adrian Andreev M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Marcello Serafini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Fano |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Massimo Giunta M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Peter Buldorini M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Wels |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Wels |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 16/07 | Pierluigi Basile M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Marcello Serafini?
Our model gives 62% to Marcello Serafini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.