Tennis · US Open Women · 07/09, 17:00
Prediction: Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma Navarro
Team pages: Anna Kalinskaya · Emma Navarro
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Kalinskaya
Emma Navarro
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Kalinskaya
6-4 (W-L)
Emma Navarro
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anna Kalinskaya
2–0
Emma Navarro
(2 last)
- 10 Feb2-1 15-13W
- 08 Oct2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Kalinskaya 1581 · Emma Navarro 1523
| Anna Kalinskaya | Emma Navarro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Kalinskaya (rating 1581 vs 1523).
- Head-to-head: Anna Kalinskaya 2–0 Emma Navarro (2).
- Note: Anna Kalinskaya makes many double faults (7.6/match).
- Note: Emma Navarro makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Anna Kalinskaya | Emma Navarro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.5 | 12.2-12 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 7.6 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.83
H2H · Anna Kalinskaya 2 – 0 Emma Navarro (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anna Kalinskaya 2–0 Emma Navarro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 WTA Doha | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/10/22 WTA San Diego | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Kalinskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Elina Svitolina US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Xinyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Anna Blinkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Caty McNally WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Janice Tjen WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Emma Navarro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Karolina Muchova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Caty McNally US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Lois Boisson US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 18/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Sofia Kenin WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Oksana Selekhmeteva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma Navarro?
Our model gives 54% to Anna Kalinskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.