Tennis · US Open Women · 06/09, 17:00
Prediction: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
Team pages: Marta Kostyuk · Linda Noskova
Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Kostyuk
Linda Noskova
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Kostyuk
7-3 (W-L)
Linda Noskova
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marta Kostyuk
1–1
Linda Noskova
(2 last)
- 09 Jul0-2 8-12L
- 29 Apr2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Kostyuk 1596 · Linda Noskova 1571
| Marta Kostyuk | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marta Kostyuk makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Marta Kostyuk | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.5 | 12.2-9 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 60.2% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.4
Over 22.5: 40% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 60% · 1.72
H2H · Marta Kostyuk 1 – 1 Linda Noskova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marta Kostyuk 1–1 Linda Noskova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 Wimbledon Women | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/04/26 WTA Madrid | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Kostyuk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ekaterina Alexandrova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Sloane Stephens US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Storm Hunter US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Madison Keys WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Katherine Sebov WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Linda Noskova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ann Li US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Lanlana Tararudee US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Katie Volynets US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Katie Boulter WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova?
Our model gives 55% to Marta Kostyuk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.