Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo
Team pages: Alexander Zverev · Alejandro Tabilo
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Zverev
Alejandro Tabilo
Estimated games
28.7Bet365 line 36.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Zverev
9-1 (W-L)
Alejandro Tabilo
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Zverev
2–0
Alejandro Tabilo
(2 last)
- 27 Aug3-0 19-12W
- 17 May2-1 14-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Zverev 1547 · Alejandro Tabilo 1541
| Alexander Zverev | Alejandro Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alexander Zverev dominates on serve: 13.8 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Zverev 2–0 Alejandro Tabilo (2).
- Note: Alexander Zverev makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Zverev | Alejandro Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.2-1.3 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 19.5-17.9 | 14.1-13.7 |
| Aces | 13.8 | 8 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 32.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.7 · Bet365 line 36.5 · -7.8
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Alexander Zverev 2 – 0 Alejandro Tabilo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Zverev 2–0 Alejandro Tabilo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/25 US Open | 3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 17/05/24 ATP Rome | 2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Quentin Halys US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-26 | W |
| 02/09 | Lorenzo Sonego US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-26 | W |
| 19/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 10/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Taylor Fritz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-21 | W |
Alejandro Tabilo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Alexei Popyrin US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-20 | W |
| 31/08 | Yannick Hanfmann US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Terence Atmane ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo?
Our model gives 68% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.