Tennis · US Open Women · 05/09, 17:00
Prediction: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala
Team pages: Iva Jovic · Alexandra Eala
Prediction summary
Winner
Iva Jovic
Alexandra Eala
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Iva Jovic
8-2 (W-L)
Alexandra Eala
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Iva Jovic
2–0
Alexandra Eala
(2 last)
- 10 Jun2-0 12-4W
- 26 May2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iva Jovic 1555 · Alexandra Eala 1584
| Iva Jovic | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Iva Jovic 2–0 Alexandra Eala (2).
Statistics
| Iva Jovic | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.5 | 12.6-9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 55% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.4
Over 22.5: 40% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 60% · 1.83
H2H · Iva Jovic 2 – 0 Alexandra Eala (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Iva Jovic 2–0 Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/26 WTA Queens | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05/26 French Open Women | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iva Jovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Magdalena Frech US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Magda Linette WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Ekaterina Alexandrova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Mary Stoiana US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala?
Our model gives 51% to Iva Jovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.