Prediction: Zizou Bergs vs Botic Van De Zandschulp
Team pages: Zizou Bergs · Botic Van De Zandschulp
Prediction summary
Winner
Zizou Bergs
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zizou Bergs
5-5 (W-L)
Botic Van De Zandschulp
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zizou Bergs 1512 · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1565
| Zizou Bergs | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botic Van De Zandschulp (rating 1512 vs 1565).
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 59.1% break avg.
- Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (6.4/match).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Zizou Bergs | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-14.3 | 13.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 79.2% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 59.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -16
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zizou Bergs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Jesper De Jong US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-19 | W |
| 02/09 | Carlos Taberner US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 29-25 | L |
| 02/07 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jan Choinski US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 06/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zizou Bergs vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?
Our model gives 60% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.