Prediction: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi
Team pages: Karen Khachanov · Benjamin Bonzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Karen Khachanov
Benjamin Bonzi
Estimated games
25.6Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Karen Khachanov
6-4 (W-L)
Benjamin Bonzi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Karen Khachanov
3–0
Benjamin Bonzi
(3 last)
- 19 Jan3-0 19-9W
- 18 May2-1 17-13W
- 14 Mar2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karen Khachanov 1492 · Benjamin Bonzi 1582
| Karen Khachanov | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Bonzi (rating 1492 vs 1582).
- Benjamin Bonzi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Karen Khachanov 3–0 Benjamin Bonzi (3).
Statistics
| Karen Khachanov | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.5 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.4-14.1 | 14.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 9.4 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.2% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.6 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -12.9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Karen Khachanov 3 – 0 Benjamin Bonzi (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karen Khachanov 3–0 Benjamin Bonzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/22 Australian Open | 3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 18/05/21 ATP Lyon | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/03/15 ITF France F5 | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karen Khachanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Roman Andres Burruchaga US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 02/07 | Yannick Hanfmann Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Benjamin Bonzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Ignacio Buse US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex Molcan US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Justin Boulais Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi?
Our model gives 53% to Karen Khachanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.