Tennis · US Open Women · 05/09, 17:00
Prediction: Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkova
Team pages: Mirra Andreeva · Nikola Bartunkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mirra Andreeva
Nikola Bartunkova
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mirra Andreeva
8-2 (W-L)
Nikola Bartunkova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mirra Andreeva 1548 · Nikola Bartunkova 1559
| Mirra Andreeva | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mirra Andreeva | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8.2 | 13.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 51% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 49% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mirra Andreeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Eva Lys US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Janice Tjen US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/06 | Magda Linette Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Nikola Bartunkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Tatjana Maria US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Mayar Sherif US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/08 | En Shuo Liang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alina Charaeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkova?
Our model gives 64% to Mirra Andreeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.