Prediction: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli
Team pages: Alexander Blockx · Flavio Cobolli
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Blockx
Flavio Cobolli
Estimated games
26.5Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Blockx
5-5 (W-L)
Flavio Cobolli
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Blockx
1–1
Flavio Cobolli
(2 last)
- 17 Aug1-2 16-18L
- 08 Apr2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Blockx 1535 · Flavio Cobolli 1549
| Alexander Blockx | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Flavio Cobolli dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 42.6% break avg.
- Note: Alexander Blockx makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Blockx | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.2 | 1.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.9-14 | 14.5-15.2 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.5 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -14
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Alexander Blockx 1 – 1 Flavio Cobolli (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Blockx 1–1 Flavio Cobolli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/26 ATP Cincinnati | 1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 08/04/26 ATP Monte Carlo | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Blockx
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Marco Trungelliti US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 24/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Flavio Cobolli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 01/09 | Francisco Comesana US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 23-23 | W |
| 22/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 15/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli?
Our model gives 52% to Flavio Cobolli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.