Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo
Team pages: Taylor Fritz · Francisco Cerundolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Taylor Fritz
Francisco Cerundolo
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 36.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Fritz
8-2 (W-L)
Francisco Cerundolo
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taylor Fritz
1–1
Francisco Cerundolo
(2 last)
- 01 May2-1 15-10W
- 03 Jun1-3 18-22L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taylor Fritz 1597 · Francisco Cerundolo 1508
| Taylor Fritz | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taylor Fritz (rating 1597 vs 1508).
- Taylor Fritz dominates on serve: 10.9 aces and 40.3% break avg.
- Note: Francisco Cerundolo makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Taylor Fritz | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-9.7 | 14.5-14.3 |
| Aces | 10.9 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 79.7% | 69% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 32.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8 · Bet365 line 36.5 · -11.7
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Taylor Fritz 1 – 1 Francisco Cerundolo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Fritz 1–1 Francisco Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/24 ATP Madrid | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 03/06/23 French Open | 1-3 | 18-22 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Fritz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Mattia Bellucci US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Darwin Blanch US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Francisco Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 01/09 | Filip Misolic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo?
Our model gives 72% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.