Tennis · US Open Women · 05/09, 17:00
Prediction: Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda Anisimova
Team pages: Anastasia Potapova · Amanda Anisimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Potapova
Amanda Anisimova
Estimated games
21.6Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Potapova
4-6 (W-L)
Amanda Anisimova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anastasia Potapova
1–1
Amanda Anisimova
(2 last)
- 11 May0-2 7-13L
- 05 Mar2-1 19-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Potapova 1509 · Amanda Anisimova 1570
| Anastasia Potapova | Amanda Anisimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amanda Anisimova (rating 1509 vs 1570).
- Note: Anastasia Potapova makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Amanda Anisimova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Anastasia Potapova | Amanda Anisimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.7 | 13.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 48% | 62.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.1
Over 20.5: 58% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 42% · 1.83
H2H · Anastasia Potapova 1 – 1 Amanda Anisimova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anastasia Potapova 1–1 Amanda Anisimova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/19 WTA Rome | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/03/17 ITF Women Curitiba | 2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Potapova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Leolia Jeanjean US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Venus Williams WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Amanda Anisimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Lilli Tagger US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Ashlyn Krueger US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Sofia Kenin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda Anisimova?
Our model gives 69% to Amanda Anisimova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.