Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 04/09, 04:30
Prediction: Yanki Erel vs Keisuke Saitoh
Team pages: Yanki Erel · Keisuke Saitoh
Prediction summary
Winner
Yanki Erel
Keisuke Saitoh
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yanki Erel
8-2 (W-L)
Keisuke Saitoh
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanki Erel 1541 · Keisuke Saitoh 1528
| Yanki Erel | Keisuke Saitoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yanki Erel | Keisuke Saitoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.8 | 11.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanki Erel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Yuto Oki M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Kokoro Isomura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 31/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Radu Albot Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Keisuke Saitoh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Sena Okabe M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Bali |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Bali |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Rafalentino Ali Da Costa M15 Bali |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Alexander Chang M15 Bali |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Ren Nakamura M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanki Erel vs Keisuke Saitoh?
Our model gives 67% to Yanki Erel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.