Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 03/09, 04:00
Prediction: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Noritaka Koizumi
Team pages: Shunsuke Mitsui · Noritaka Koizumi
Prediction summary
Winner
Shunsuke Mitsui
Noritaka Koizumi
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Shunsuke Mitsui
7-3 (W-L)
Noritaka Koizumi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shunsuke Mitsui 1562 · Noritaka Koizumi 1527
| Shunsuke Mitsui | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Shunsuke Mitsui | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9 | 9.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shunsuke Mitsui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tung-Lin Wu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Pawit Sornlaksup Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08 | Shintaro Imai M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Noritaka Koizumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Riku Takahata M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 16/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shunsuke Mitsui vs Noritaka Koizumi?
Our model gives 72% to Shunsuke Mitsui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.