Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 03/09, 04:30
Prediction: Yanki Erel vs Yuto Oki
Team pages: Yanki Erel · Yuto Oki
Prediction summary
Winner
Yanki Erel
Yuto Oki
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yanki Erel
7-3 (W-L)
Yuto Oki
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanki Erel 1538 · Yuto Oki 1505
| Yanki Erel | Yuto Oki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yanki Erel | Yuto Oki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.8 | 9.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 28.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanki Erel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Kokoro Isomura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 31/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Radu Albot Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Yuto Oki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Shintaro Imai M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Kai-An Wu M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Corban Crowther M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanki Erel vs Yuto Oki?
Our model gives 72% to Yanki Erel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.