Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 03/09, 04:30

Prediction: Sora Fukuda vs Philip Sekulic

Team pages: Sora Fukuda · Philip Sekulic

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Sora Fukuda Philip Sekulic
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sora Fukuda 8-2 (W-L)
LWLWWWWWWW
Philip Sekulic 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sora Fukuda 1499 · Philip Sekulic 1478
Sora FukudaPhilip Sekulic
Our model53%47%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Sora FukudaPhilip Sekulic
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11-1.4
Games (G-P)12.9-12.69.7-11.1
Aces2.94.2
Double faults1.83.2
1st serve %71.8%67.1%
Break %49.7%40%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sora Fukuda

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Yusuke Kusuhara
M25 Urayasu
2-1 16-14 W
06/08 Alibek Kachmazov
M15 Astana
1-2 13-17 L
30/07 Sergey Petrov
M15 Astana
2-0 13-8 W
29/07 Shintaro Imai
M15 Astana
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Yusuke Takahashi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
02/07 Sanhui Shin
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 14-18 L
01/07 Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 14-12 W
17/06 Shunsuke Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
09/06 Hyu Kawanishi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
30/05 Evan Zhu
M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay
1-2 15-19 L

Philip Sekulic

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Yunseong Chung
M25 Urayasu
2-1 13-10 W
29/07 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/07 Shintaro Mochizuki
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
17/07 Murphy Cassone
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
16/07 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-1 13-10 W
14/07 Strong Kirchheimer
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
05/07 Patrick Maloney
Challenger Newport · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Blake Ellis
Challenger Cary · Hard
1-2 17-20 L
16/05 Keegan Smith
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
15/05 Kriish Tyagi
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sora Fukuda vs Philip Sekulic?

Our model gives 58% to Philip Sekulic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.