Tennis · US Open Women · 04/09, 17:00
Prediction: Ann Li vs Linda Noskova
Team pages: Ann Li · Linda Noskova
Prediction summary
Winner
Ann Li
Linda Noskova
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ann Li
5-5 (W-L)
Linda Noskova
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ann Li
0–1
Linda Noskova
(1 last)
- 15 Feb1-2 14-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ann Li 1534 · Linda Noskova 1578
| Ann Li | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linda Noskova (rating 1534 vs 1578).
- Head-to-head: Ann Li 0–1 Linda Noskova (1).
- Note: Ann Li makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Ann Li | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.9 | 11.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1
Over 22.5: 43% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 57% · 1.80
H2H · Ann Li 0 – 1 Linda Noskova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ann Li 0–1 Linda Noskova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 WTA Dubai | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ann Li
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Donna Vekic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 31/08 | Antonia Ruzic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Kayla Cross WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Magdalena Frech WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Linda Noskova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Lanlana Tararudee US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Katie Volynets US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Katie Boulter WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ann Li vs Linda Noskova?
Our model gives 65% to Linda Noskova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.