Prediction: Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Mariano Navone
Team pages: Tomas Martin Etcheverry · Mariano Navone
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Mariano Navone
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
4-6 (W-L)
Mariano Navone
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
2–0
Mariano Navone
(2 last)
- 10 Nov2-0 12-5W
- 08 May2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1488 · Mariano Navone 1526
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2–0 Mariano Navone (2).
Statistics
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.4 | 13.5-12.8 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -16.7
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2 – 0 Mariano Navone (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2–0 Mariano Navone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/22 Challenger Montevideo | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05/19 ITF M15 Buenos Aires | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Vit Kopriva US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ignacio Buse ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-25 | L |
Mariano Navone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Matteo Berrettini US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Novak Djokovic US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-22 | W |
| 25/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Raphael Collignon ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Mariano Navone?
Our model gives 54% to Mariano Navone, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.