Prediction: Zizou Bergs vs Jesper De Jong
Team pages: Zizou Bergs · Jesper De Jong
Prediction summary
Winner
Zizou Bergs
Jesper De Jong
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 39.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zizou Bergs
5-5 (W-L)
Jesper De Jong
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zizou Bergs 1499 · Jesper De Jong 1488
| Zizou Bergs | Jesper De Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (6.2/match).
- Note: Jesper De Jong makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Zizou Bergs | Jesper De Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.6 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.9-14.6 | 11.3-12 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 8 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 79.5% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 29.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -14.6
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zizou Bergs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Carlos Taberner US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 29-25 | L |
| 02/07 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Ugo Humbert Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
Jesper De Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 24-19 | W |
| 24/08 | Adam Walton ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Vilius Gaubas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zizou Bergs vs Jesper De Jong?
Our model gives 62% to Zizou Bergs, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.