Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Jiri Lehecka · Stefanos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiri Lehecka
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
25.7Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jiri Lehecka
7-3 (W-L)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jiri Lehecka
2–2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
(4 last)
- 18 Oct2-0 12-8W
- 12 Mar2-0 12-6W
- 24 Jan0-3 13-19L
- 12 Feb1-2 12-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiri Lehecka 1548 · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1547
| Jiri Lehecka | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Stefanos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Jiri Lehecka | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.6-13.6 | 14-12.8 |
| Aces | 8.7 | 9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 33.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -14.8
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Jiri Lehecka 2 – 2 Stefanos Tsitsipas (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiri Lehecka 2–2 Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/24 ATP Antwerp | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/03/24 ATP Indian Wells | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/01/23 Australian Open | 0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 12/02/22 ATP Rotterdam | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiri Lehecka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/08 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 04/07 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 31/08 | Arthur Fils US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Valentin Royer ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Martin Damm ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Keegan Rice ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Alex De Minaur ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 60% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.