Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alex De Minaur
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Alex De Minaur
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Alex De Minaur
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 34.5
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
6-4 (W-L)
Alex De Minaur
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Botic Van De Zandschulp
0–4
Alex De Minaur
(4 last)
- 13 Feb1-2 17-17L
- 19 Feb0-2 8-12L
- 14 Jan0-3 10-19L
- 22 Nov1-2 14-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1548 · Alex De Minaur 1567
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Alex De Minaur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 6 aces and 59.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Botic Van De Zandschulp 0–4 Alex De Minaur (4).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Alex De Minaur makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Alex De Minaur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.7 | 13.1-12.3 |
| Aces | 6 | 5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 59.6% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 34.5 · -10.8
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Botic Van De Zandschulp 0 – 4 Alex De Minaur (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Botic Van De Zandschulp 0–4 Alex De Minaur
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 ATP Rotterdam | 1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 19/02/25 ATP Doha | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/01/25 Australian Open | 0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 22/11/22 Davis Cup | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Jan Choinski US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 06/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Alex De Minaur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 06/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 05/08 | James Duckworth ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alex De Minaur?
Our model gives 67% to Alex De Minaur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.