Tennis · US Open Women · 03/09, 17:00
Prediction: Iva Jovic vs Francesca Jones
Team pages: Iva Jovic · Francesca Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Iva Jovic
Francesca Jones
Estimated games
21.6Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Iva Jovic
7-3 (W-L)
Francesca Jones
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iva Jovic 1515 · Francesca Jones 1615
| Iva Jovic | Francesca Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Jones (rating 1515 vs 1615).
- Francesca Jones is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Iva Jovic | Francesca Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 2-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.2 | 13.4-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 66% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +3.1
Over 18.5: 70% · 1.72
Under 18.5: 30% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iva Jovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Magda Linette WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Ekaterina Alexandrova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Francesca Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Magda Linette US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/08 | Joanna Garland US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Mona Barthel US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Nuria Brancaccio US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Alice Rame WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Chloe Paquet WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Fiona Ferro WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iva Jovic vs Francesca Jones?
Our model gives 61% to Iva Jovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.