Tennis · US Open Women · 04/09, 17:00
Prediction: Nikola Bartunkova vs Tatjana Maria
Team pages: Nikola Bartunkova · Tatjana Maria
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Bartunkova
Tatjana Maria
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Bartunkova
7-3 (W-L)
Tatjana Maria
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Bartunkova 1562 · Tatjana Maria 1534
| Nikola Bartunkova | Tatjana Maria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Bartunkova | Tatjana Maria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11 | 11.6-7.2 |
| Aces | 5 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 44% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.5
Over 21.5: 47% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 53% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Bartunkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Mayar Sherif US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/08 | En Shuo Liang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alina Charaeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Tatjana Maria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Jelena Ostapenko US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Isabella Marton WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Talia Gibson WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Bartunkova vs Tatjana Maria?
Our model gives 60% to Nikola Bartunkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.