Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse
Team pages: Benjamin Bonzi · Ignacio Buse
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Bonzi
Ignacio Buse
Estimated games
24.2Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi
6-4 (W-L)
Ignacio Buse
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Benjamin Bonzi
0–1
Ignacio Buse
(1 last)
- 28 Aug1-2 9-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1549 · Ignacio Buse 1564
| Benjamin Bonzi | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Benjamin Bonzi 0–1 Ignacio Buse (1).
- Note: Benjamin Bonzi makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Bonzi | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12.3 | 13.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 42% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -16.3
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Benjamin Bonzi 0 – 1 Ignacio Buse (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Benjamin Bonzi 0–1 Ignacio Buse
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/26 ATP Winston-Salem | 1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Bonzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Alex Molcan US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Justin Boulais Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Ignacio Buse
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Marcos Giron US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-20 | W |
| 29/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Adam Walton ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse?
Our model gives 55% to Ignacio Buse, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.