Tennis · US Open Women · 04/09, 17:00
Prediction: Taylor Townsend vs Diana Shnaider
Team pages: Taylor Townsend · Diana Shnaider
Prediction summary
Winner
Taylor Townsend
Diana Shnaider
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Townsend
7-3 (W-L)
Diana Shnaider
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taylor Townsend 1549 · Diana Shnaider 1588
| Taylor Townsend | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Taylor Townsend | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.5 | 11.1-8.4 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.6
Over 22.5: 39% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 61% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Townsend
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Taylah Preston US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Maja Chwalinska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Martina Trevisan WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Diana Shnaider
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Karolina Pliskova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Daria Snigur US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Townsend vs Diana Shnaider?
Our model gives 60% to Diana Shnaider, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.