Tennis · US Open Women · 03/09, 17:00
Prediction: Anastasia Potapova vs Leolia Jeanjean
Team pages: Anastasia Potapova · Leolia Jeanjean
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Potapova
Leolia Jeanjean
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Potapova
3-7 (W-L)
Leolia Jeanjean
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Potapova 1501 · Leolia Jeanjean 1506
| Anastasia Potapova | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anastasia Potapova makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Leolia Jeanjean makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Anastasia Potapova | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11 | 12-12 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 7.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.5
Over 20.5: 61% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 39% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Potapova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Venus Williams WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Coco Gauff French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Arantxa Rus US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Potapova vs Leolia Jeanjean?
Our model gives 62% to Anastasia Potapova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.