Tennis · US Open Women · 03/09, 17:00
Prediction: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Alexandra Eala
Team pages: Oleksandra Oliynykova · Alexandra Eala
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Alexandra Eala
Estimated games
22.1Bet365 line 17.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandra Oliynykova
6-4 (W-L)
Alexandra Eala
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Oleksandra Oliynykova
1–0
Alexandra Eala
(1 last)
- 18 May2-1 16-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1525 · Alexandra Eala 1583
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Eala (rating 1525 vs 1583).
- Head-to-head: Oleksandra Oliynykova 1–0 Alexandra Eala (1).
- Note: Oleksandra Oliynykova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.5 | 13-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 54.1% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 17.5 · +4.6
Over 17.5: 79% · 2.00
Under 17.5: 21% · 1.72
H2H · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1 – 0 Alexandra Eala (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1–0 Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 WTA Strasbourg | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandra Oliynykova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Reese Brantmeier US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Mayar Sherif WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Nastasja Schunk WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Mary Stoiana US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Alexandra Eala?
Our model gives 76% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.