Tennis · US Open Women · 03/09, 17:00
Prediction: Qinwen Zheng vs Yulia Putintseva
Team pages: Qinwen Zheng · Yulia Putintseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Qinwen Zheng
Yulia Putintseva
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Qinwen Zheng
6-4 (W-L)
Yulia Putintseva
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Qinwen Zheng
0–1
Yulia Putintseva
(1 last)
- 31 May1-2 11-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Qinwen Zheng 1555 · Yulia Putintseva 1502
| Qinwen Zheng | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Qinwen Zheng (rating 1555 vs 1502).
- Head-to-head: Qinwen Zheng 0–1 Yulia Putintseva (1).
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Qinwen Zheng | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.4 | 12.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.83
H2H · Qinwen Zheng 0 – 1 Yulia Putintseva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Qinwen Zheng 0–1 Yulia Putintseva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/23 French Open Women | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qinwen Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Kristina Liutova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/08 | Elena Pridankina US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Clara Burel US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Xiaodi You US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Micic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Yulia Putintseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Belinda Bencic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Maya Joint WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Victoria Rodriguez WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 03/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Alina Charaeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Claire Liu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qinwen Zheng vs Yulia Putintseva?
Our model gives 65% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.