Prediction: Tristan Schoolkate vs Flavio Cobolli
Team pages: Tristan Schoolkate · Flavio Cobolli
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Schoolkate
Flavio Cobolli
Estimated games
26.8Bet365 line 35.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Schoolkate
4-6 (W-L)
Flavio Cobolli
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Schoolkate 1567 · Flavio Cobolli 1546
| Tristan Schoolkate | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tristan Schoolkate | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1 | 1.4-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.1-13.6 | 14.3-14.8 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 70% |
| Break % | 33.7% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.8 · Bet365 line 35.5 · -8.7
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Schoolkate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 28/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Seong Chan Hong US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Jack Secord US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/08 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Flavio Cobolli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Francisco Comesana US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 23-23 | W |
| 22/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 15/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Schoolkate vs Flavio Cobolli?
Our model gives 67% to Flavio Cobolli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.