Prediction: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo
Team pages: Jan-Lennard Struff · Francisco Cerundolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan-Lennard Struff
Francisco Cerundolo
Estimated games
26.9Bet365 line 37.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jan-Lennard Struff
4-6 (W-L)
Francisco Cerundolo
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jan-Lennard Struff
0–1
Francisco Cerundolo
(1 last)
- 15 Apr0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan-Lennard Struff 1524 · Francisco Cerundolo 1529
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jan-Lennard Struff dominates on serve: 14.6 aces and 51% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jan-Lennard Struff 0–1 Francisco Cerundolo (1).
- Note: Jan-Lennard Struff makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (4) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.5 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.9-17.2 | 13.5-13.3 |
| Aces | 14.6 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 70% |
| Break % | 51% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.9 · Bet365 line 37.5 · -10.6
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Jan-Lennard Struff 0 – 1 Francisco Cerundolo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan-Lennard Struff 0–1 Francisco Cerundolo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/25 ATP Munich | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan-Lennard Struff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniil Medvedev Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 21-17 | W |
| 02/07 | Brandon Nakashima Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-31 | W |
| 29/06 | Sebastian Baez Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-24 | W |
Francisco Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Filip Misolic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo?
Our model gives 57% to Francisco Cerundolo, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.