Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Team pages: Taylor Fritz · Mattia Bellucci
Prediction summary
Winner
Taylor Fritz
Mattia Bellucci
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 33.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Fritz
8-2 (W-L)
Mattia Bellucci
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taylor Fritz
1–0
Mattia Bellucci
(1 last)
- 12 Jun2-1 19-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taylor Fritz 1608 · Mattia Bellucci 1505
| Taylor Fritz | Mattia Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taylor Fritz (rating 1608 vs 1505).
- Taylor Fritz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz 1–0 Mattia Bellucci (1).
Statistics
| Taylor Fritz | Mattia Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.2 | 14.9-13 |
| Aces | 11.2 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 37% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 33.5 · -8.4
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Taylor Fritz 1 – 0 Mattia Bellucci (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Fritz 1–0 Mattia Bellucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 ATP Stuttgart | 2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Fritz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Darwin Blanch US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mattia Bellucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Zachary Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Alexander Bublik ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Alex Bolt ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci?
Our model gives 75% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.