Prediction: Jakub Mensik vs Jurij Rodionov
Team pages: Jakub Mensik · Jurij Rodionov
Prediction summary
Winner
Jakub Mensik
Jurij Rodionov
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 31.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Mensik
8-2 (W-L)
Jurij Rodionov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Mensik 1567 · Jurij Rodionov 1566
| Jakub Mensik | Jurij Rodionov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jakub Mensik makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Jakub Mensik | Jurij Rodionov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-12.1 | 12.3-10 |
| Aces | 10.8 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 79.3% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 31.5 · -8.3
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Mensik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 12/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Jurij Rodionov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Frederico Ferreira Silva US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Kimmer Coppejans US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Joel Schwaerzler ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Mensik vs Jurij Rodionov?
Our model gives 69% to Jakub Mensik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.