Tennis · US Open · 04/09, 17:00

Prediction: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti

Team pages: Alexander Blockx · Marco Trungelliti

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Alexander Blockx Marco Trungelliti
Estimated games
26Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Blockx 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLLWLW
Marco Trungelliti 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexander Blockx 1515 · Marco Trungelliti 1522
Alexander BlockxMarco Trungelliti
Our model49%51%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Alexander Blockx makes many double faults (5.8/match).
  • Note: Marco Trungelliti makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Alexander BlockxMarco Trungelliti
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.41.4-1.2
Games (G-P)15.1-15.413.3-12.9
Aces8.85.4
Double faults5.85.3
1st serve %75.3%69.2%
Break %36.7%49.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 26 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -12.5
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexander Blockx

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Tomas Barrios Vera
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-9 W
17/08 Flavio Cobolli
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 16-18 L
15/08 Mariano Navone
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
07/08 Jiri Lehecka
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Luca Van Assche
ATP Estoril · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
25/07 Luciano Darderi
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 19-19 W
24/07 Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
22/07 Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 16-16 W
14/07 Titouan Droguet
ATP Umag · Clay
1-2 8-15 L
30/06 Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 23-26 L

Marco Trungelliti

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Juncheng Shang
US Open · Hard
3-2 20-25 W
16/08 Daniil Medvedev
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
14/08 Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
13/08 Kei Nishikori
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
12/08 Sebastian Ofner
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
01/08 Nicolas Mejia
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
22/07 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
21/07 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
15/07 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Umag · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
13/07 Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Umag · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti?

Our model gives 65% to Alexander Blockx, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.