Prediction: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina
Team pages: Luciano Darderi · Dalibor Svrcina
Prediction summary
Winner
Luciano Darderi
Dalibor Svrcina
Estimated games
25.2Bet365 line 39.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luciano Darderi
3-7 (W-L)
Dalibor Svrcina
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luciano Darderi
3–1
Dalibor Svrcina
(4 last)
- 30 Mar2-1 14-13W
- 31 Oct2-0 12-5W
- 05 Jun1-2 11-17L
- 14 Jul2-1 19-18W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luciano Darderi 1525 · Dalibor Svrcina 1531
| Luciano Darderi | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Luciano Darderi 3–1 Dalibor Svrcina (4).
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Luciano Darderi | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.4-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.1 | 15-14 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 7.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 28.1% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -14.3
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Luciano Darderi 3 – 1 Dalibor Svrcina (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luciano Darderi 3–1 Dalibor Svrcina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/25 Challenger Naples | 2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/10/23 Challenger Guayaquil | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06/23 Challenger Prostejov | 1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/07/22 Challenger Iasi | 2-1 | 19-18 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luciano Darderi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Dalibor Svrcina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Valentin Royer US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 28/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Adam Walton ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina?
Our model gives 55% to Luciano Darderi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.