Tennis · US Open Women · 03/09, 17:00
Prediction: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic
Team pages: Ann Li · Donna Vekic
Prediction summary
Winner
Ann Li
Donna Vekic
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ann Li
5-5 (W-L)
Donna Vekic
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ann Li
1–0
Donna Vekic
(1 last)
- 27 Sept2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ann Li 1507 · Donna Vekic 1494
| Ann Li | Donna Vekic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ann Li 1–0 Donna Vekic (1).
- Note: Donna Vekic makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Ann Li | Donna Vekic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.4 | 13-12.2 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.7
Over 22.5: 45% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 55% · 1.83
H2H · Ann Li 1 – 0 Donna Vekic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ann Li 1–0 Donna Vekic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/21 WTA Chicago | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ann Li
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Antonia Ruzic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Kayla Cross WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Magdalena Frech WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Donna Vekic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Talia Gibson US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/08 | Xinyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ann Li vs Donna Vekic?
Our model gives 54% to Ann Li, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.