Tennis · US Open Women · 04/09, 17:00
Prediction: Diane Parry vs Sorana Cirstea
Team pages: Diane Parry · Sorana Cirstea
Prediction summary
Winner
Diane Parry
Sorana Cirstea
Estimated games
22.1Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Diane Parry
6-4 (W-L)
Sorana Cirstea
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diane Parry 1620 · Sorana Cirstea 1522
| Diane Parry | Sorana Cirstea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diane Parry (rating 1620 vs 1522).
- Diane Parry is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Diane Parry makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Diane Parry | Sorana Cirstea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.7 | 11.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.6
Over 20.5: 61% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 39% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diane Parry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Viktorija Golubic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Ann Li WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Donna Vekic WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Sorana Cirstea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Julia Grabher US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sara Bejlek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diane Parry vs Sorana Cirstea?
Our model gives 55% to Sorana Cirstea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.