Tennis · US Open Women · 04/09, 17:00
Prediction: Lanlana Tararudee vs Linda Noskova
Team pages: Lanlana Tararudee · Linda Noskova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lanlana Tararudee
Linda Noskova
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lanlana Tararudee
7-3 (W-L)
Linda Noskova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lanlana Tararudee 1546 · Linda Noskova 1563
| Lanlana Tararudee | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lanlana Tararudee makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Lanlana Tararudee | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12 | 12-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +0.8
Over 21.5: 56% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 44% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lanlana Tararudee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Elvina Kalieva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 21/07 | Jana Kovackova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Linda Noskova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Katie Volynets US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Katie Boulter WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lanlana Tararudee vs Linda Noskova?
Our model gives 66% to Linda Noskova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.