Tennis · US Open Women · 02/09, 17:00
Prediction: Lilli Tagger vs Amanda Anisimova
Team pages: Lilli Tagger · Amanda Anisimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilli Tagger
Amanda Anisimova
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lilli Tagger
7-3 (W-L)
Amanda Anisimova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilli Tagger 1587 · Amanda Anisimova 1563
| Lilli Tagger | Amanda Anisimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Lilli Tagger dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 42.3% break avg.
- Note: Amanda Anisimova makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Lilli Tagger | Amanda Anisimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.2 | 12.9-9.7 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 65.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 51% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 49% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Tamara Korpatsch US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Robin Montgomery WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Amanda Anisimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Ashlyn Krueger US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Sofia Kenin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilli Tagger vs Amanda Anisimova?
Our model gives 64% to Amanda Anisimova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.