Tennis · US Open Women · 02/09, 17:00
Prediction: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya
Team pages: Xinyu Wang · Anna Kalinskaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinyu Wang
Anna Kalinskaya
Estimated games
22.2Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Xinyu Wang
5-5 (W-L)
Anna Kalinskaya
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xinyu Wang
1–2
Anna Kalinskaya
(3 last)
- 20 May2-0 13-10W
- 23 Feb1-2 14-12L
- 18 Jan1-2 14-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinyu Wang 1523 · Anna Kalinskaya 1562
| Xinyu Wang | Anna Kalinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Xinyu Wang 1–2 Anna Kalinskaya (3).
- Note: Xinyu Wang makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Anna Kalinskaya makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Xinyu Wang | Anna Kalinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.8 | 12.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 36% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.7
Over 20.5: 62% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 38% · 1.90
H2H · Xinyu Wang 1 – 2 Anna Kalinskaya (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xinyu Wang 1–2 Anna Kalinskaya
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/24 WTA Strasbourg | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/02/22 WTA Guadalajara | 1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 18/01/20 Australian Open Women | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinyu Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Emiliana Arango US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Donna Vekic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Julieta Pareja WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Anna Kalinskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Anna Blinkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Caty McNally WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Janice Tjen WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Magdalena Frech Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya?
Our model gives 63% to Anna Kalinskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.