Tennis · US Open Women · 03/09, 17:00
Prediction: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Leylah Annie Fernandez
Team pages: Mananchaya Sawangkaew · Leylah Annie Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Estimated games
20.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
7-3 (W-L)
Leylah Annie Fernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1540 · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1514
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | Leylah Annie Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mananchaya Sawangkaew makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Leylah Annie Fernandez makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | Leylah Annie Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.7 | 10.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -1.1
Over 21.5: 42% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 58% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Panna Udvardy US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Emerson Jones WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Leylah Annie Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Shuai Zhang US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Magda Linette WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Janice Tjen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Leylah Annie Fernandez?
Our model gives 60% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.