Prediction: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu
Team pages: James Duckworth · Yibing Wu
Prediction summary
Winner
James Duckworth
Yibing Wu
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
James Duckworth
5-5 (W-L)
Yibing Wu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Duckworth 1580 · Yibing Wu 1511
| James Duckworth | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Duckworth (rating 1580 vs 1511).
- James Duckworth dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 41% break avg.
- Note: James Duckworth makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| James Duckworth | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-10.6 | 12.9-12.7 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 67% |
| Break % | 41% | 28.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -16.9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Duckworth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Matteo Arnaldi US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 28/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Yibing Wu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Adam Walton US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Francisco Comesana ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu?
Our model gives 51% to James Duckworth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.