Tennis · US Open Women · 03/09, 17:00
Prediction: Harriet Dart vs Marie Bouzkova
Team pages: Harriet Dart · Marie Bouzkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Harriet Dart
Marie Bouzkova
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Harriet Dart
5-5 (W-L)
Marie Bouzkova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Harriet Dart
1–0
Marie Bouzkova
(1 last)
- 24 Jun2-1 19-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harriet Dart 1547 · Marie Bouzkova 1543
| Harriet Dart | Marie Bouzkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Harriet Dart 1–0 Marie Bouzkova (1).
- Note: Harriet Dart makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Harriet Dart | Marie Bouzkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.3 | 12.2-11 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 67% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.5
Over 19.5: 67% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 33% · 1.83
H2H · Harriet Dart 1 – 0 Marie Bouzkova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harriet Dart 1–0 Marie Bouzkova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/24 WTA Eastbourne | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harriet Dart
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Peyton Stearns US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/08 | Heather Watson US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Kristina Penickova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Jordyn Hazelitt US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Kayla Cross WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Marie Bouzkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Elsa Jacquemot US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harriet Dart vs Marie Bouzkova?
Our model gives 66% to Marie Bouzkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.