Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Stefanos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 39.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
8-2 (W-L)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1625 · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1541
| Lloyd Harris | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1625 vs 1541).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 74.4% break avg.
- Lloyd Harris is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9.1 | 13.3-12.2 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 74.4% | 34.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -16.2
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Jack Kennedy US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Henrique Rocha US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Bernard Tomic US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/08 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Arthur Fils US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Valentin Royer ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Martin Damm ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Keegan Rice ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Alex De Minaur ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 57% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.